Senate Democrats are biting their nails in anticipation of election day this November. The Supreme Court ruling on Roe v. Wade somewhat tempered the Republicans' expectations of a red wave, but the GOP is slowly regaining momentum. Democrats are looking at three main options as we enter the final weeks before the midterm elections.
It's Raining Cash
Democrats and Republicans have poured a collective $928 million into the seven most contentious Senate races. This figure could easily grow to $1 billion in the last few weeks leading up to the election. There are constant ads running in battleground states like Georgia and Pennsylvania, as well as in Arizona, Wisconsin, and Nevada.
Neither party is sparing any expense in their quest to win voters to their side.
Related: Is Biden's Mental Capacity a Serious Issue?
Making History
President Biden has the potential to be the first Democrat to gain Senate seats in a midterm since John F. Kennedy. This feat would be remarkable, given persistent inflation, his poor approval ratings, and a historical trend that seems to punish the party in power.
Related: Joe Biden Hits Record High Approval Rating Thanks to This Surprising Demographic
Barely Holding On
Democrats are barely holding on to their leads in the battleground states, but they're managing to cling to a narrow majority. A GOP Senate could alter the trajectory of Biden's agenda, potentially ruining his plans to codify abortion rights and create a more sturdy social safety net. Republicans would also face much less resistance in their probe of the administration if they had control of the House.
A divided Congress may lead to battles over spending priorities, which could trigger a government shutdown. Biden's judicial and executive nominees would face stubborn resistance as he attempted to follow through on his agenda.
Option One: The Dream Scenario
The dream scenario for the Democrats would be picking up two seats currently held by a GOP member in a state that was won by Biden-Pennsylvania and Wisconsin-while holding on to their incumbents in their other states. This win would give them a 52-seat majority and would cancel out moderate Democrats Kyrsten Sinema and Joe Manchin, who have stood in the way of the Democrat agenda many times.
Democrats also see potential in South Carolina, where Cheri Beasley is neck and neck with Tedd Budd. South Carolina also has a Democratic governor, which could send more blue voters to the polls. Democrats also boast well-funded campaigns and tight polls in Ohio and Florida.
Option Two: A Divided Congress
Another potential outcome is another two years with a 50-50 Senate where Vice President Kamala Harris holds the tie-breaking vote. This outcome is precarious with so many close races in so many battleground states. Democrats could lose a seat in Nevada or Georgia and still keep their majority, but only if Lt. Gov. John Fetterman can win against Dr. Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania. Democrats can afford to lose both Nevada and Georgia if Mandela Barnes beats Ron Johnson in Wisconsin, if Cheri Beasley beats Ted Budd, or if Tim Ryan beats J.D. Vance.
So far, Democrats have spent around $458 million in ads in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, Ohio, North Carolina, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. According to AdImpact, that's around $54 million more than Republicans have spent.
Option 3: Republicans Take Majority
The third potential outcome is that Republicans end up taking the majority in the Senate. Republican Adam Laxalt has been maintaining a narrow majority in Nevada by emphasizing Biden's low approval ratings as well as the border and crime.
Raphael Warnock has been furiously fundraising for his campaign in Georgia but is still neck and neck with his opponent, Herschel Walker. Herschel's personal life became a topic of interest in Warnock's campaign, but it doesn't seem to be gaining him as much ground as he had hoped.
If Republicans win both Nevada and Georgia and manage to keep a grip on Wisconsin, they would most likely gain the majority. If Mehmet Oz or the candidates in New Hampshire and Arizona come out victorious, Republicans would net additional seats.
If the GOP is able to take control of Congress this November, it would give them a lot of momentum going into the 2024 presidential election.
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This article was produced and syndicated by Wealth of Geeks.
source https://wealthofgeeks.com/democrats-have-three-options/
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